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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

SHL: Skellefteaa vs. Roegle

Probability

100¢

1h

+3.0pp

24h

+38.5pp

24h Vol

$723.33

Liquidity

$9.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  1. 1

    Up 38pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $9.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  5. 5

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 16:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:18Price

    Probability up 48.0pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 44.9pp

    to 97¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 44.9pp

    to 97¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:15Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming SHL game, scheduled for 2026-04-25: If Skellefteaa win, the market will resolve to "Skellefteaa". If Roegle win, the market will resolve to "Roegle". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.eliteprospects.com/league/shl
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).