UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will NEOM SC vs. Al Hazem SC end in a draw?

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+78.0pp

24h Vol

$41.6K

Liquidity

$27.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+66.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 21:00Apr 28, 2026, 20:09
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 78pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.5× turnover

    $41.6k traded against $27.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:09Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 15:45Resolve

    Market resolved 4h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+78.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +78.0pp at 20:00 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 46 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · +78.0pp → 100¢
  • 12:00 · +28.0pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 22¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 28, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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