Complicated-Innovation
0x585bef2dc5b122bb8b93dd421f32dd1ca2f4753f
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$27.2K
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$-52.99
Win rate
63%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
7740 shares @ 35.3¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.7K
$-18.73
- NO
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
3359 shares @ 73.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.3K
$-212.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
4256 shares @ 54.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.1K
$-164.98
- NO
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
1576 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$7.88
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?
1065 shares @ 75.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$782.91
$-24.29
- NO
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
914 shares @ 59.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$681.24
$137.08
- YES
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
1415 shares @ 53.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$636.78
$-123.35
- YES
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?
1178 shares @ 66.1¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$606.60
$-172.57
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1437 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$567.67
$78.89
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1645 shares @ 36.1¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$534.54
$-58.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLOver $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$0.912s ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?$6.1810s ago
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Printr public sale?$89.0026s ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by June 30?$134.5332s ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$4.1348s ago
- TRADEBUYOver $15M committed to the Printr public sale?$0.7658s ago
- TRADEBUYOver $15M committed to the Printr public sale?$21.601m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?$32.202m ago
- TRADEBUYPharos FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?$20.564m ago
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$13.254m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 Week of April 27 2026?$7.355m ago
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$53.137m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?$32.007m ago
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$13.607m ago
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by May 15?$12.247m ago
- REDEEMWill Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?$361.038m ago
- REDEEMWill Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-04-28?$840.078m ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$63.058m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between May 23 and May 29?$0.089m ago
- TRADEBUYNew Rihanna Album before GTA VI?$65.0210m ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $72.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 26m ago
- Last active
- 2s ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.