UnclassifiedExpires Apr 30, 2026
Creator

Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+69.0pp

24h Vol

$5.2K

Liquidity

$21.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+71.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 20:00Apr 30, 2026, 19:12
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 69pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $21.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 05
    UMA status

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:12Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+69.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +70.0pp at 19:00 (to 100¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 19:00 · +70.0pp → 100¢
  • 17:00 · +12.5pp → 43¢
  • 11:00 · -4.0pp → 26¢
  • 3d ago · +4.5pp → 30¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Ettifaq Saudi Club" if Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Okhdood SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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