Will Kody Steele win by KO or TKO?
Probability
46¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$215.77
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 175h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 75.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 174.9h
- 21:07SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 175h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Biggest hourly move: -5.0pp at 05:00 (to 46¢).
Show all 16 hour-by-hour ticks
- 21:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 20:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 19:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 17:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 15:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 14:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 12:00 · -4.5pp → 46¢
- 11:00 · -4.5pp → 46¢
- 09:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 08:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 06:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 05:00 · -5.0pp → 46¢
- 03:00 · -4.0pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 51¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 39¢-7.0pp
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)
Sports · Vol $2.7K
- 50¢0.0pp
Fight to Go the Distance?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢-0.5pp
Will Dom Mar Fan win by KO or TKO?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢0.0pp
Will the fight be won by submission?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
O/U 0.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-56.5pp
Pistons vs. Magic
Sports · Vol $5.0M
- 100¢+32.5pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $4.3M
- 87¢+9.0pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $2.8M
- 100¢+51.4pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.4M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Sports · Vol $1.6M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kody Steele defeats Dom Mar Fan at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (75.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.