Loading shell…
SportsExpires May 3, 2026

O/U 0.5 Rounds

Probability

59¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$161.75

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 72.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 181.2h

    LOW
  • 14:48Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Gerald Meerschaert and Jacob Malkoun at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Gerald Meerschaert and Jacob Malkoun at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1. “Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 16, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/events
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (72.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.