Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Probability
24¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$8.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 24¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14732h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14732.0h
- 08:57SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14732h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 26¢.
Biggest hourly move: +4.5pp at 3d ago (to 25¢).
Show 7 hourly moves
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 26¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +3.0pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +3.5pp → 24¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 25¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryusing the total token supply multiplied by the token priceLinkTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.