Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Mandatory - Map 2 Winner
Probability
21¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$6.25
Liquidity
$535.60
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 21¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 15.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.0h
- 12:59SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 21¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 21¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 21¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 19¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 19¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.5pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Caldya Esport and Mandatory in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Caldya Esport" if Caldya Esport win Map 2 against Mandatory. This market will resolve to "Mandatory" if Mandatory win Map 2 against Caldya Esport. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://vlr.ggNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).