Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs Caldya Esport (+1.5)
Probability
50¢
1h
-14.5pp
24h
-14.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.52
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 50¢; -14.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 97.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 19:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 5.9h
- 13:05SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 80¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 66¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 64¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 64¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 64¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 64¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 68¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 64¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Caldya Esport and Mandatory in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mandatory" if Mandatory wins 2 or more maps than Caldya Esport in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Caldya Esport". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://vlr.ggNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (97.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.