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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs Caldya Esport (+1.5)

Probability

50¢

1h

-14.5pp

24h

-14.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.52

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; -14.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 97.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 6h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.9h

    HIGH
  • 13:05Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between Caldya Esport and Mandatory in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mandatory" if Mandatory wins 2 or more maps than Caldya Esport in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Caldya Esport". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://vlr.ggNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (97.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.