Rich-Waterwheel
0xc8773301f25228a280e12c6387c588fd3c0c05b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$582.25
Total PnL
$-629.21
Realised
$57.88
Win rate
68%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Venstre be part of the next Government of Denmark?
28 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$28.47
$18.50
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
36 shares @ 44.5¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$25.49
$9.40
- YES
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$20.00
$10.20
- NO
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.89
$17.29
- YES
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$19.55
$15.75
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
20 shares @ 65.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.53
$6.31
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
19 shares @ 61.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.55
$6.96
- NO
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
20 shares @ 54.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.30
$6.50
- YES
Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 21.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.80
$11.50
- YES
Will Rob Sand win the 2026 Iowa Governor Democratic primary election?
15 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$14.62
$6.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$2.14May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Ryan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?$5.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$6.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5$6.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$6.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$1.77May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$6.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$7.10May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies$18.01May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?$20.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yolanda Flowers win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?$20.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds$36.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$40.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox$42.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers$48.00May 26, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)$77.96May 26, 04:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.34May 11, 00:45 UTC
- MERGELos Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jays$6.00May 10, 18:50 UTC
- MERGEAthletics vs. Baltimore Orioles$6.00May 10, 18:50 UTC
- MERGESpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$12.00May 10, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.