Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
25¢
1h
-4.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$744.29
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6015.4h
- 13:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6015h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Aster (ASTER/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 17:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ASTER/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ASTER_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ASTER/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).