Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$11.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $11.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 200.1h
- 15:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.1pp
to 1¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 2¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.5pp
to 2¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 2¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 2¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 2¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 2¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 2¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 2¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.5pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.0pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.5pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 31¢+0.5pp
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $16.49
- 1¢-25.5pp
Will Hailey Baptiste win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Anna Bondar win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-48.4pp
Will Jessica Bouzas Maneiro win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 29¢-14.0pp
Will Sorana Cîrstea win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-41.0pp
Will Jaqueline Cristian win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-6.5pp
Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-42.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $3.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 5¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $865.7K
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $834.7K
- 4¢+0.1pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $790.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).