Will Sorana Cîrstea win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Probability
29¢
1h
+1.7pp
24h
-14.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$73.69
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 29¢; +1.7pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 56.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 200.1h
- 15:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 200h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.4pp
to 27¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.2pp
to 27¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 28¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 27¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 27¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 28¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.7pp
to 25¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 46¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.6pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.4pp
to 41¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 41¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.7pp
to 41¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.9pp
to 23¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.1pp
to 23¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.9pp
to 24¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.2pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.3pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.3pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.9pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 31¢+0.5pp
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $16.49
- 1¢-25.5pp
Will Hailey Baptiste win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Anna Bondar win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-48.4pp
Will Jessica Bouzas Maneiro win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-41.0pp
Will Jaqueline Cristian win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-6.5pp
Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-42.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $3.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 6¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $865.5K
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $834.7K
- 4¢+0.1pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $790.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (56.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).