Will Bernie Sanders vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$9.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1572.7h
- 11:15SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1573h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:15PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 4¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 4¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 4¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 4¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 4¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 4¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 4¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Federal ReserveOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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