Will Betis finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 825.9h
- 14:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:06PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 10¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 10¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 10¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 10¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 10¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 11¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 10¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.2pp
to 10¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.1pp
to 10¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.2pp
to 10¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.2pp
to 10¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.4pp
to 10¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 10¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 10¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.1pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.1pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+0.1pp
Will Real Madrid finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.3pp
Will Athletic Bilbao finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $412.54
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Espanyol finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢+4.0pp
Will Levante finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Girona finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $984.29
- 1¢-0.9pp
Will Getafe finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $540.93
- 0¢-0.4pp
Will Alaves finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 61¢+1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.0M
- 1¢-1.9pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $863.3K
- 60¢+2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $849.2K
Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the La Liga standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the La Liga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official La Liga tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).