Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$25.0K
Liquidity
$55.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 866h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 866.2h
- 13:48SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 866h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $22.8K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $22.2K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.3pp
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $21.5K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $32.0K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $2.6M
- 3¢-1.1pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $640.2K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $559.5K
- 5¢+0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $454.7K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $372.9K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $346.1K
Market Description
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
17 wallets- Tedious-Bean40.6K
- Capital-Sari17.3K
- Safe-Fibre5.0K
- Deserted-Bitter3.6K
- Outstanding-Ballet2.0K