Will Didier Fuentes win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Probability
44¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+11.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 44¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5694h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 88.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5694.1h
- 17:55SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5694h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+11.0pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.
Biggest hourly move: +16.5pp at 1d ago (to 33¢).
Show all 25 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · +11.0pp → 44¢
- 16:00 · +11.0pp → 44¢
- 18:00 · +5.5pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +16.5pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +15.5pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +9.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 33¢
- 1d ago · +12.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +11.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +7.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +10.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +6.5pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 33¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (88.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.