Will Rhett Lowder win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Probability
44¢
1h
+10.5pp
24h
+10.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+34.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 44¢; +10.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5696h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 87.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5696.1h
- 15:53SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5696h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:53PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 44¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 33¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (87.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.