Near-Familiar
0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$354.6K
Total PnL
$-341.0K
Realised
$-32.1K
Win rate
63%
81 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
65000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 66.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.4K
$10.9K
- NO
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
32544 shares @ 70.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.1K
$9.2K
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
50065 shares @ 35.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$21.8K
$4.0K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
65000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.6K
$-10.9K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
20000 shares @ 92.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.8K
$1.3K
- NO
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
11897 shares @ 81.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.8K
$2.1K
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
11021 shares @ 72.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.8K
$2.8K
- YES
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
776944 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.5K
$3.5K
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
37396 shares @ 24.7¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.3K
$1.0K
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
11000 shares @ 88.9¢·now 88.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.7K
$-79.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$121.64Jun 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$81.39Jun 13, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$87.65Jun 13, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.13Jun 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran nuclear test before 2027?$159.93Jun 13, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.05Jun 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.01Jun 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$49.40Jun 13, 04:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?$43.52Jun 13, 04:00 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$8.1KJun 13, 03:55 UTC
- MERGEWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.0KJun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$204.97Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$0.91Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$0.91Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$2.40Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$4.40Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$1.32Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$22.00Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$11.62Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$8.80Jun 13, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 13, 01:10 UTC → Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
- BUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$6.0K@94¢Jun 13, 01:05 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$6.0K
1 trades
30d volume
$6.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
$6.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $240.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 22:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 81 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.