PoliticsExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Elon Musk Testify to Congress about Epstein?

Probability

1h

-1.5pp

24h

-2.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 05:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 8¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1562.0h

    LOW

Price movement

-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.

Biggest hourly move: -6.0pp at 2d ago (to 6¢).

Show 4 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 8¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 6¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual provides testimony about Jeffrey Epstein before either chamber of the United States Congress (House of Representatives or Senate), or any of their official committees or subcommittees, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying testimony may be either live or recorded, in-person or remote, and closed or open to the public. A primary focus of the testimony must be information related to Jeffrey Epstein, including but not limited to the listed individuals’ relationship with Epstein, their appearance in Epstein-related files released by the federal government, their involvement in previous Epstein investigations or criminal proceedings, or their general knowledge of Epstein and his life. Limited references to Epstein in an otherwise unrelated congressional testimony will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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