Will Enayat Nazhat advance from the CA-07 primary election?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$20.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $20.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 890.9h
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Biggest hourly move: -43.5pp at 19:00 (to 7¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 21:00 · -43.5pp → 7¢
- 20:00 · -43.0pp → 7¢
- 19:00 · -43.5pp → 7¢
- 17:00 · -41.5pp → 7¢
- 15:00 · -41.5pp → 7¢
- 14:00 · -43.0pp → 7¢
- 12:00 · -43.0pp → 7¢
- 11:00 · -42.0pp → 7¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 7th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
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