Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in April?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$592.58
Liquidity
$979.72
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 128h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $980 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 127.8h
- 20:14SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 128h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -5.4pp at 2d ago (to 1¢).
Show all 10 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -4.3pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -4.3pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -4.3pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -4.1pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -5.4pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -4.8pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -4.8pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -4.9pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 2¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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