CryptoExpires May 4, 2026

Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 April 27-May 3?

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$18.6K

Liquidity

$358.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00Apr 27, 2026, 17:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $18.6k traded against $358.7k of visible liquidity (0.05× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 154h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 154.0h

    LOW
  • 17:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 154h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+38.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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