Will Geoff Duncan win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.3pp
24h Vol
$344.29
Liquidity
$20.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 562h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $20.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 562.3h
- 13:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 562h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.4pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 2¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Georgia, scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 19, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).