SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 3, 2026

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

Probability

33¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+24.5pp

24h Vol

$1.12

Liquidity

$638.19

Probability (last 7 days)

+23.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 25pp over 24h

    Now 33¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4590h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 53.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4590.1h

    LOW
  • 17:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4590h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+24.5pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.

Biggest hourly move: +27.0pp at 02:00 (to 36¢).

Show all 12 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · +24.0pp → 33¢
  • 15:00 · +24.0pp → 33¢
  • 14:00 · +24.0pp → 33¢
  • 12:00 · +26.5pp → 35¢
  • 11:00 · +27.0pp → 36¢
  • 09:00 · +27.0pp → 36¢
  • 08:00 · +27.0pp → 36¢
  • 06:00 · +27.0pp → 36¢
  • 05:00 · +27.0pp → 36¢
  • 03:00 · +27.0pp → 36¢
  • 02:00 · +27.0pp → 36¢
  • 01:00 · +26.5pp → 35¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNBA: Giannis Antetokounmpo Next Team
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Nov 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (53.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

9 wallets
Open on Polymarket