Worn-Tanker
0xc97b0b2a2547bb3ed57167092ef8a6e816c347e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$1.5M
Total PnL
$22.3K
Realised
$-2.7K
Win rate
63%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
327602 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$315.0K
$6.2K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
198587 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$193.1K
$2.9K
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
135108 shares @ 90.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$122.3K
$448.15
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
120385 shares @ 87.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.8K
$8.0K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
93178 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$90.1K
$-45.75
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?
72535 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$72.3K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in July?
66912 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$66.1K
$561.19
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
51671 shares @ 89.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.8K
$457.60
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?
31721 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$31.5K
$529.52
- NO
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in July?
30177 shares @ 92.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.7K
$1.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$3.16Jul 25, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?$2.8KJul 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?$3.84Jul 25, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$40.55Jul 25, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$775.90Jul 25, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$54.04Jul 25, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$163.43Jul 25, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in August?$166.96Jul 25, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?$270.00Jul 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?$527.92Jul 25, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.4KJul 25, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?$170.00Jul 25, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?$116.67Jul 25, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in August?$94.06Jul 25, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?$48.92Jul 25, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$8.1KJul 25, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$10.57Jul 25, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$455.41Jul 25, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$11.99Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?$33.78Jul 25, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$66.7K
Trades
3
Buy share
65%
Window
May 29, 00:40 UTC → Jul 15, 14:25 UTC
- BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$9.5K@96¢Jul 15, 14:25 UTC
- BUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$8.3K@99¢Jul 8, 07:48 UTC
- BUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$10.2K@100¢Jun 27, 10:35 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 6 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
30 closed markets, 63% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$28.1K
3 trades
Buy share
65%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
$23.3K · 35% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $388.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.