Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4521h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 21.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4520.8h
- 15:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4521h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
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to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
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to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
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to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
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to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
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to 40¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
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to 40¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the WNBA for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to named as the champion of WNBA for the 2026 season per the rules of WNBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after November 14, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the WNBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Oct 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (21.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).