Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Probability
64¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$182.74
Probability (last 7 days)
-20.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.7h
- 11:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6018h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 70¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.4pp
to 69¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 67¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 67¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.3pp
to 67¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.2pp
to 67¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.9pp
to 67¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.1pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.1pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.1pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.8pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.4pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.3pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.3pp
to 67¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GRVT officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (69.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).