Imaginative-Shoes
0x58e80dd4a5c365ba380795103f5e0963a287bb5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$715.55
Total PnL
$-212.42
Realised
$19.28
Win rate
100%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?
165 shares @ 13.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.22
$5.38
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
150 shares @ 23.8¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 29.4¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$25.85
$9.70
- YES
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
118 shares @ 32.8¢·now 21.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.88
$-13.94
- YES
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?
178 shares @ 15.8¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.62
$-8.55
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
116 shares @ 12.9¢·now 14.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.52
$1.53
- YES
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
205 shares @ 7.3¢·now 7.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.86
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?
88 shares @ 12.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.51
$3.79
- YES
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 8.9¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.30
$4.50
- YES
X banned in any European country by December 31?
98 shares @ 12.1¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.25
$2.39
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?$3.20Aug 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat?$0.78Aug 18, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be less than 47% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?$0.39Aug 18, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?$0.70Aug 18, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?$0.27Aug 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?$0.45Aug 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DFM Real Estate Index hit 16,000 in 2026?$0.55Aug 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.35Aug 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.45Aug 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?$0.23Aug 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$0.55Aug 17, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYVance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?$0.50Aug 17, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$0.80Aug 17, 16:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?$3.70Aug 17, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$0.63Aug 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.45Aug 17, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?$4.86Aug 17, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026?$0.07Aug 17, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?$0.00Aug 17, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?$0.00Aug 17, 02:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 16, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.