Imaginative-Shoes
0x58e80dd4a5c365ba380795103f5e0963a287bb5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$671.98
Total PnL
$-47.15
Realised
$31.65
Win rate
100%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
135 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.25
$-1.35
- YES
Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
140 shares @ 8.2¢·now 13.6¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$19.04
$7.58
- YES
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
225 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jan 12, 2027$18.56
$-1.64
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
60 shares @ 24.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.30
$0.90
- YES
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
45 shares @ 30.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.30
$1.80
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
45 shares @ 41.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.38
$-6.07
- YES
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?
165 shares @ 13.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.37
$-9.47
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?
60 shares @ 15.5¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.40
$2.10
- YES
UK Recession in 2026?
40 shares @ 29.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$11.00
$-0.60
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
30 shares @ 28.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.65
$2.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.15Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.02Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?$0.20Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?$0.33Jul 3, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hurupay launch a token by June 30, 2027?$1.85Jul 3, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.