Will "Hokum" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Probability
61¢
1h
-19.0pp
24h
-32.0pp
24h Vol
$207.13
Liquidity
$79.42
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (71.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 32pp over 24h
Now 61¢; -19.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 71.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (71.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 24.7h
- 23:20SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 25h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-32.0pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Hokum (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on May 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by May 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.