Will Ian Garry fight Conor McGregor next?
Probability
37¢
1h
-3.8pp
24h
+15.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$16.88
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 15pp over 24h
Now 37¢; -3.8pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 73.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 7566.8h
- 17:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 7567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.2pp
to 45¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 41¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.3pp
to 41¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.8pp
to 41¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.7pp
to 39¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.9pp
to 47¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.1pp
to 45¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 40¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 40¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 40¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 44¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.2pp
to 22¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.6pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.6pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.4pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.9pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.9pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.6pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.3pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.2pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.9pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 7, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC boutAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (73.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.