Daring-Pirate
0x5446fe5868e4e6da0ab784b005fe423df62218f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$18.8K
Total PnL
$553.50
Realised
$426.15
Win rate
82%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1203 shares @ 65.6¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$637.59
$-152.01
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
1006 shares @ 62.9¢·now 53.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$532.93
$-100.11
- NO
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
1139 shares @ 41.1¢·now 45.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$512.55
$44.71
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?
477 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$457.25
$18.35
- NO
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
464 shares @ 90.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$452.63
$34.72
- NO
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
527 shares @ 82.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$445.48
$9.31
- YES
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
466 shares @ 78.2¢·now 94.2¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$438.57
$74.64
- NO
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
661 shares @ 84.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$436.26
$-125.03
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?
450 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$416.25
$24.75
- NO
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
450 shares @ 84.7¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$400.50
$19.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$93.29Jun 15, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?$93.00Jun 15, 05:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$12.24Jun 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$27.02Jun 14, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$16.72Jun 14, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$21.60Jun 14, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$22.30Jun 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$26.95Jun 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLHugh Jackman as Wolverine?$66.53Jun 14, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$57.33Jun 14, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$7.89Jun 14, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samuel Wyatt be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$63.50Jun 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$78.30Jun 14, 01:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.36Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$24.11Jun 13, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$80.64Jun 13, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$19.58Jun 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$17.20Jun 13, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $52.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.