Pitiful-Patience
0xe899b5ea69afb161da7a35597b6fe70398860899
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$73.6K
Total PnL
$12.5K
Realised
$3.9K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
318651 shares @ 5.7¢·now 13.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$41.9K
$23.7K
- YES
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
29927 shares @ 73.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$23.5K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
633988 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.9K
$-6.5K
- NO
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?
3945 shares @ 50.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$2.1K
$68.18
- NO
Will John Stevens get second place in the Clacton by-election?
1265 shares @ 90.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$1.2K
$72.40
- NO
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
1050 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$1.0K
$57.75
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
625 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$390.63
$3.13
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
36168 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$379.76
$-194.15
- YES
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
751 shares @ 46.8¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$225.32
$-126.03
- NO
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
116 shares @ 60.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$91.37
$21.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.43Jul 29, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$6.43Jul 29, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$393.39Jul 29, 02:00 UTC
- YIELD$4.18Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$12.16Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$27.60Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$18.40Jul 28, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$23.00Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$16.1KJul 28, 06:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.64Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$10.75Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$575.00Jul 27, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$46.00Jul 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$46.00Jul 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$46.00Jul 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$46.00Jul 27, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$46.00Jul 27, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$46.00Jul 27, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$46.00Jul 27, 13:05 UTC
- YIELD$4.74Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$175.2K
Trades
2
Buy share
91%
Window
Jun 2, 22:40 UTC → Jun 19, 00:31 UTC
- SELLWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$15.0K@85¢Jun 3, 15:53 UTC
- BUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$148.2K@78¢Jun 2, 22:38 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
91%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
$163.2K · 93% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.