Will Joy Eakins win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 2413.7h
- 10:16SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2414h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 5¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 5¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 5¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (9.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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