Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?
Probability
46¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$87.23
Liquidity
$460.05
Probability (last 7 days)
+19.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 58h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $460 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 58h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 58 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 58.2h
- 13:45SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 58h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:44PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 46¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 46¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 46¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 46¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 46¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 46¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 46¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 46¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 46¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 46¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 46¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 46¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 47¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 47¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 46¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
King Charles is scheduled to participate in a joint meeting of Congress on April 28, 2026. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/01/king-charles-joint-meeting-congress/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about King Charles's remarks at the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
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