Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2026 AFC West?
Probability
25¢
1h
-5.3pp
24h
-14.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6096.6h
- 23:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6097h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.8pp
to 24¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.6pp
to 21¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 35¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.1pp
to 38¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 14¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.3pp
to 12¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.8pp
to 31¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.9pp
to 35¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 12¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.6pp
to 12¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 11¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 37¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 12¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 12¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.1pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.3pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.8pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 4, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (37.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).