Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?
Probability
38¢
1h
+3.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6089.6h
- 06:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6090h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:21PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 38¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 34¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 34¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 33¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 53¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 42¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 33¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 46¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 39¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 31¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 4, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).