Will Los Angeles Chargers win the 2026 AFC West?
Probability
33¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+11.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 33¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6083h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 28.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6082.6h
- 13:24SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6083h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 33¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 31¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 28¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 23¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 21¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 25¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 30¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 26¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 24¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 28¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 24¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the team that is declared as the AFC West division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie atop the division, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the NFL. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 17, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this division within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 4, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (28.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).