Will Le Havre be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?
Probability
13¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.7pp
24h Vol
$15.41
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 13¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 826.0h
- 13:58SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:58PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.1pp
to 33¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.3pp
to 31¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.9pp
to 33¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.6pp
to 30¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.3pp
to 32¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.6pp
to 30¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.3pp
to 32¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.8pp
to 28¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.3pp
to 29¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.1pp
to 33¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.1pp
to 32¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.9pp
to 33¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 21¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 21¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 21¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 21¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.9pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.7pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.8pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.1pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.1pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.1pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.3pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.9pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.2pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by Ligue 1 following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).