Whispered-Cauliflower
0x1fa28cee7f6f146414d0207345b736ef35df3801
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$4.92
Total PnL
$-428.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 34.8¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.75
$-5.95
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 41.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-2.85
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 21.6¢·now 2.7¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$0.68
$-4.72
- YES
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.25
$-0.45
- YES
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
1700 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1652 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
553 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
422 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
258 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?
150 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$25.00Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$103.76May 21, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$103.05May 21, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$2.22May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$2.25May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?$2.41May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?$5.00May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$5.00May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$22.73May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$24.93May 17, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$2.20Apr 27, 20:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-04-26?$81.73Apr 26, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez$67.04Apr 26, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez$50.00Apr 26, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Caty McNally$40.00Apr 26, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-04-26?$30.00Apr 26, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 24?$0.00Apr 26, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on April 24?$0.00Apr 26, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 24?$0.00Apr 26, 10:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $52.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.