Will Leverkusen finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-19.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 783.4h
- 08:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 783h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.0pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).