Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 270m?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.3pp
24h Vol
$25.80
Liquidity
$509.04
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 445.8h
- 10:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 446h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.1pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lyft’s total number of rides for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Lyft’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and webcast transcripts/recordings. Note: if the specified company reports multiple variations of the specified metric, the first version of the metric found in the following hierarchy of earnings materials will be used. 1) Earnings Press Release 2) Earnings Investor Presentation 3) Regulatory Filings 4) Transcripts or recordings of Earnings webcast.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 14, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).