Comfortable-Rhythm
0xcdb0dbb51447359c4b43891e66aed7be43eb1581
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$92.18
Total PnL
$-82.48
Realised
$14.92
Win rate
71%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
27 shares @ 20.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.15
$12.62
- NO
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
14 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.59
$6.24
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
19 shares @ 29.9¢·now 46.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.66
$3.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 38.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.73
$-2.79
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
46 shares @ 7.1¢·now 12.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.68
$2.45
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
6 shares @ 62.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.26
$1.23
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
4 shares @ 38.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.26
$2.61
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.58
$1.58
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 35.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.58
$1.57
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.37
$1.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 16:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.