Grand-Casket
0xf5eeac1bd604cbf5f610401f05be5acdd4755d9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$38.3K
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
8000 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.9K
$142.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
8000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.9K
$92.00
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
5000 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$5.0K
$55.00
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
4000 shares @ 95.6¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.8K
$-24.00
- NO
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
3000 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$-1.50
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2500 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.5K
$3.25
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
1725 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.4K
$8.62
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
1499 shares @ 90.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-0.75
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
1314 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.3K
$6.57
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$904.99
$25.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.3KMay 18, 03:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?$1.00May 7, 13:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$983.00May 6, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$415.00May 6, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$8.30May 6, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$33.20May 6, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$3.77May 6, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$4.84May 6, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $449.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 04:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".