Will Nathan Butterfield be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$187.33
Liquidity
$13.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1244.7h
- 03:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1245h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 1¢-4.2pp
Will Jed Cochran be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $186.53
- 4¢-2.5pp
Will Nancy Dyson be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $188.30
- 30¢+14.5pp
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $1.2K
- 4¢-2.0pp
Will Paul Royse be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $174.34
- 37¢+5.0pp
Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $478.78
- 4¢-2.5pp
Will Kelly B. Walsh be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $171.73
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate B be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for OK-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $7.9M
- 2¢-1.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $640.2K
- 43¢-5.4pp
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $555.9K
- 21¢+5.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Politics · Vol $450.8K
- 5¢-0.9pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $404.3K
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $396.5K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the UAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).