Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

1. 1

   Up 4pp over 24h

   Now 12¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1064h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 4.2¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.