Will Ron DeSantis join the Trump administration by June 30?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$82.24
Liquidity
$12.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $12.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1568.7h
- 15:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1569h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 10¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 10¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 10¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 10¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 11¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 11¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Ron DeSantis to his administration between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).