SportsExpires Sep 1, 2026
Creator

Will Sassuolo qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+0.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$236.54

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official UEFA data
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.7pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 08:00May 5, 2026, 07:03
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $237 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 2848.9h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -40.6pp at 4d ago (to 9¢).

Show top 8 of 44 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · -9.6pp → 1¢
  • 19:00 · -9.5pp → 1¢
  • 4d ago · -39.5pp → 10¢
  • 4d ago · -40.6pp → 9¢
  • 4d ago · -38.4pp → 10¢
  • 4d ago · -40.2pp → 9¢
  • 4d ago · -39.0pp → 10¢
  • 4d ago · -39.9pp → 9¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

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updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventSerie A: Team to qualify for UEFA Conference League
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

10 wallets
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