Will Suh Byung-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$544.02
Liquidity
$11.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $11.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 913.2h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 28¢-5.0pp
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $650.67
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Cho Kyoung-tae win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $544.02
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Park Seong-hoon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $644.02
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Choi In-ho win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $544.04
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Lee Jae-sung win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $544.04
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Hong Soon-heon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $524.02
- 50¢0.0pp
Will another candidate win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate B win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $657.5K
- 5¢+0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $573.4K
- 3¢+0.9pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $524.3K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $341.3K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $333.2K
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $316.8K
Market Description
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.