Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$154.43
Liquidity
$6.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1208h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $6.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1208.1h
- 15:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1208h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Macro · Vol $70.27
- 1¢+0.5pp
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $62.64
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?
Macro · Vol $70.27
- 3¢-1.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $642.5K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $601.9K
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $491.8K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $370.5K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $342.1K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $329.2K
Market Description
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Puducherry, India, in April–June 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Puducherry Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 15, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).